Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 12.197724 14.036413 15.998615 18.241860 20.728619 23.394091 26.460222
2025-01-26 10.117063 12.580073 15.366017 18.727787 22.650527 27.059056 32.362889
2025-02-02 8.636154 11.468871 14.832769 19.074681 24.230419 30.241927 37.725644
2025-02-09 7.375639 10.399615 14.151120 19.068487 25.258788 32.704763 42.241419
2025-02-16 6.075168 9.089100 12.991299 18.299252 25.205420 33.754966 44.992309
2025-02-23 5.235195 8.266521 12.344838 18.076651 25.750834 35.487673 48.568322
2025-03-02 4.470869 7.447541 11.605866 17.636999 25.934120 36.706435 51.473831
2025-03-09 3.912337 6.853379 11.108186 17.459467 26.413478 38.279414 54.838662
2025-03-16 3.371545 6.218412 10.485522 17.040619 26.507115 39.304810 57.473803
2025-03-23 3.037776 5.866279 10.240439 17.129669 27.286341 41.251536 61.366908
2025-03-30 2.711417 5.486488 9.915108 17.064891 27.821467 42.856883 64.818010
2025-04-06 2.480991 5.241120 9.774091 17.257255 28.720434 44.977995 69.016380
2025-04-13 2.261846 4.993628 9.612489 17.409533 29.569164 47.062548 73.239024
2025-04-20 2.131486 4.891963 9.679167 17.917206 30.962167 49.957549 78.668715
2025-04-27 1.986013 4.744463 9.653923 18.268374 32.119981 52.534570 83.699878
2025-05-04 1.798627 4.492642 9.426444 18.268989 32.724304 54.305491 87.603290
2025-05-11 1.523793 4.027960 8.781717 17.528236 32.119277 54.247812 88.830767
2025-05-18 1.353102 3.756795 8.462300 17.314185 32.333171 55.409018 91.855246
2025-05-25 1.175971 3.445804 8.039917 16.889810 32.177195 55.988878 94.014525
2025-06-01 1.047526 3.226199 7.772110 16.718464 32.421835 57.179546 97.101933
2025-06-08 0.909296 2.961569 7.390772 16.313931 32.250729 57.706120 99.182521
2025-06-15 0.832607 2.836968 7.280776 16.399973 32.908965 59.546124 103.297499
2025-06-22 0.750091 2.684406 7.098898 16.337413 33.303133 60.968897 106.791779